Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 114.709004 132.807951 154.378939 182.441807 218.697382 265.018885 3.305439e+02
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 89.583707 110.816171 138.901168 180.292046 242.715769 339.238725 5.146291e+02
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 75.848358 97.470296 127.894193 176.403444 257.688263 402.716684 7.296434e+02
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 67.398350 89.182009 121.353905 176.058728 276.467120 481.307768 1.062296e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 61.342422 83.127565 116.619279 176.803960 296.735822 575.481357 1.597885e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 55.126599 75.887232 108.670360 169.857778 299.159581 631.077409 2.155871e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 52.511790 73.809528 108.671945 177.230171 334.842270 806.372322 4.090755e+03
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 48.259991 68.606694 102.577662 171.378742 337.542451 884.823878 6.151037e+03
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 45.688142 65.858638 100.368460 172.901392 359.678907 1062.646418 1.310460e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 42.850660 62.382777 96.392483 169.842137 368.375202 1200.782855 2.871789e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 42.479303 63.030907 100.058630 184.467774 436.778056 1791.938157 1.008406e+07
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 43.152199 65.542187 107.634810 210.526757 563.953319 3428.732189 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 40.658830 62.422545 104.157243 209.653322 598.641407 4661.292174 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 38.201367 59.196571 100.158239 206.823302 626.649438 6372.443614 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 35.895114 56.031222 95.858170 202.081220 643.539358 8489.511860 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 34.166103 53.798650 93.271344 201.659674 684.047771 13394.317928 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 32.706668 51.950977 91.287043 202.569738 735.352711 24832.047818 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 30.772944 49.038900 86.607486 194.102059 723.667453 31877.346800 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 30.105558 48.544733 87.336821 203.090363 839.640074 185667.396030 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 28.544538 46.166705 83.456286 195.953383 833.371238 418819.300424 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 27.616334 44.990558 82.275338 197.808332 903.515670 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 26.462649 43.283301 79.661195 194.083029 924.039437 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 26.460027 43.912721 82.748613 211.949758 1192.001579 NaN NaN